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Thursday, April 26, 2018 - 9:30am - 10:00am
Mihai Anitescu (Argonne National Laboratory)
Abstract. We propose a statistical space-time model for predicting atmospheric wind speed based on deterministic numerical weather predictions and historical measurements. We consider a Gaussian multivariate space-time framework that combines multiple sources of past physical model outputs and measurements along with model predictions in order to produce a probabilistic wind speed forecast within the prediction window. Relevant to this workshop, the approach results in the ability of quantifying the model error of numerical weather sytems.
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