More Ways to Burn CPU: A Macedoine of Tests, Scores and Validation

Friday, June 14, 2002 - 3:00pm - 3:50pm
Keller 3-180
Mark Bebbington (Massey University)
Using the example of the (linked) stress release model, we show how a range of statistical tools, including AIC, numerical analysis, residual point processes, and MonteCarlo simulation can be used to verify the fitted model. The point process entropy provides a bound on the information gain obtainable from a model. We will outline how this can be calculated for the simple stress release model, and review some simulation results for the linked model. Finally, we will illustrate how the linked model can be used to validate a more complex simulation model for earthquake genesis.