Local and Global Phenomena in Childhood Disease Dynamics

Friday, April 23, 1999 - 9:30am - 10:30am
Keller 3-180
Matthew Keeling (University of Cambridge)
Dr. Matt Keeling, University of Cambridge will deliver the talk.

Population-level models based on the SEIR framework work rather well for childhood infections. These assume homogeneous mass action mixing - however, in reality, we know that there are, often violent, local scale epidemics, associated with the start of school term, etc. Here, we examine this paradox, using time series analysis and population models.