Seismic dynamics prior to and after the great earthquakes worldwide, 1985-2001

Real-time monitoring ( http://www.mitp.ru or http://www.phys.ualberta.ca/mirrors/mitp )

"A novel understanding of seismic..."

"Earthquakes,"

Inverse and direct cascading of earthquakes

Scaling and stages of cascading activity

Stages of earthquake prediction

"Zero approximation:"

"First approximation:"

Reproducible earthquake prediction methods:
Algorithm M8 (Keilis-Borok and Kossobokov, 1984, 1986, 1990)

Reproducible earthquake prediction methods:
Algorithm M8 (Keilis-Borok and Kossobokov, 1984, 1986, 1990)

Reproducible earthquake prediction methods:
Algorithm M8 (Keilis-Borok and Kossobokov, 1984, 1986, 1990)

Reproducible earthquake prediction methods:
Algorithm M8 (Keilis-Borok and Kossobokov, 1984, 1986, 1990)

Reproducible earthquake prediction methods:
Algorithm M8 (Keilis-Borok and Kossobokov, 1984, 1986, 1990)

Reproducible earthquake prediction methods:
Algorithm M8 (Keilis-Borok and Kossobokov, 1984, 1986, 1990)

Reproducible earthquake prediction methods:
Algorithm MSc (Mendocino Scenario)
(Kossobokov, Keilis-Borok and Smith, 1990)

Reproducible earthquake prediction methods:
Algorithm MSc (Mendocino Scenario)
(Kossobokov, Keilis-Borok and Smith, 1990)

Reproducible earthquake prediction methods:
Algorithm MSc (Mendocino Scenario)
(Kossobokov, Keilis-Borok and Smith, 1990)

Global testing of algorithms M8 and MSc

Real-time monitoring ( http://www.mitp.ru or http://www.phys.ualberta.ca/mirrors/mitp )

Space-time diagram of M8-MSc alarms

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Real Life is more complicated than a model

Conclusions

Next Steps

This presentation was supported from the ISTC grant #1538.