“Friendlier Flying”:
Stochastically Modeling Airport Arrival Capacities During Inclement Weather

Goal/Motivation

Outline

Background

Slide 5

Ground vs. Airborne Delay

Hoffman-Rifkin (H-R) Static Stochastic Ground Holding Model

 Weather Forecast (conditions & start time)

Representative Structures of
Capacity Scenarios

Empirical (Historical) Data Sets

Data (continued)

Overall Capacity PDF with
1-Parameter ACDs

Time Series Plot of
Average GDP Length

Choosing Seasons of Least Cost

Cost Functions for Set Partitioning (Differences in Means)

Cost Functions Based on Differences in EDFs

Post Analysis for Evaluating Sets of Seasons

Results of Post Analysis

Perspectives on
Seasonal “Clustering”

Relative Frequency Histograms for Weather Seasons

Current and Future Work