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Software Agents and the
Information Economy
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Humans are on the verge of
losing their status as the sole economic
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species on the planet. In
private laboratories and in the Internet
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laboratory, researchers and
developers are creating a variety of
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autonomous,
economically-motivated software agents endowed with
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algorithms for maximizing
profit or utility. Many economic
software
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agents will function as
miniature businesses, purchasing information
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inputs from other agents,
combining and refining them into information
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goods and services, and
selling them to humans or other agents.
Their
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mutual interactions will
form the information economy: a complex
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economic web of information
goods and services that will adapt to the
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ever-changing needs of
people and agents. The information economy will
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be the largest multi-agent
system ever conceived, and an integral part
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of the world's economy.
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One cannot predict how this
new world economy will behave simply by
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extrapolating from hundreds
of years of economies in which humans have
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been the only players.
Economic software agents differ from their
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human counterparts in
several ways. They operate more quickly on more
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up-to-date and accurate
information, yet on the other hand they have
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much less world experience
and common sense. In an effort to both
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understand and design the
macroeconomic behavior of the future
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information economy, we have
simulated several different markets and
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economies populated with
economic software agents employing a variety
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of plausible pricing and
bidding algorithms. I will present several
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interesting macroeconomic
behaviors that we have observed and
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analyzed, including cyclical
price wars and complex strategic
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interactions that are
reminiscent of the prisoner's dilemma. I will
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then discuss how insights
gained from our studies can be used to
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design not just market
mechanisms, but the agents themselves -- an
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opportunity that
traditionally has not been available to economists.
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