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Summer Program: Statistics in the Health Sciences

Week 1

Genetics

July 7-11, 1997

Organizers:

Seymour Geisser (University of Minnesota)
Elizabeth Halloran (Emory University)


Workshop Schedule Confirmed speakers and visitors Registration Form
Accomodations

Statistical methods for population genetics are finding increasing areas of application, including DNA profiles, evolutionary phylogenies, hereditary disease patterns based on mitochondrial DNA, and even the origins and spread of language.

DNA profiles of several genetic loci are an important tool for identification to measure alleles in hypervariable loci, whether based on RFLP or PCR techniques. The use of these techniques, however, to ascertain similarity of two profiles and to estimate the relative frequency of a profile in a specified population and their underlying statistics have been the subject of much heated debate.

The building of evolutionary trees to establish phylogenies, or the relations between organisms, families, or species, is another important area of population genetics. In the medical sciences this is particularly important in the area of microbiology and parasitology. Examples include malaria, HIV, and tuberculosis. It is also used in studies of descent based on mitochondrial DNA. Mitochondrial DNA is inherited from the mother, so requires different statistical approaches than the usual linkage analysis based on nuclear DNA. Several difficult statistical issues arise in phylogeny building. One is the alignment of sequences. Second is the estimation of the distances based on some assumed evolutionary model. Third is the building of a tree structure based on a clustering algorithm. Fourth, is the problem of inference about the complex tree structure that was obtained. Methods of inference include likelihood methods and bootstrapping, but neither is well-understood in this application.

The statistical methods of population genetics and for the analysis of disease patterns based on mitochondrial DNA have lagged behind those for linkage analysis based on nuclear DNA. This workshop will be a unique opportunity for top-level statisticians to meet with quantitative geneticists to advance the statistical underpinnings of these emerging problems.

Schedule for Week 1

All talks are in Vincent Hall Room 570 unless otherwise noted.
SCHEDULE for MONDAY, JULY 7
8:45 am Registration and Coffee Vincent Hall Room 502
9:15 am A. Friedman, R. Gulliver, E. Halloran Welcome and Orientation
9:30 am Bruce Weir,
North Carolina State Univ.
Effects of population structure on paternity calculations
10:30 am Break Vincent Hall Room 502
11:00 am Seymour Geisser,
University of Minnesota
A Critique of Forensic Laboratories' Use of Statistics for RFLP-DNA Matching and Profiling
2:00 pm Laurence Mueller,
Univ. of California-Irvine
The DNA Typing Controversy and NRC II
3:00 pm Discussion Session Future Directions in DNA Typing
4:00 pm IMA Tea Vincent Hall Room 502
SCHEDULE for TUESDAY, JULY 8
9:15 am Coffee Vincent Hall Room 502
9:30 am Susan Holmes,
Cornell University
Evaluating Phylogenies built from Molecular Data
10:30 am Coffee Vincent Hall Room 502
11:00 am Elizabeth Halloran,
Emory University
Bootstrap Confidence Levels for Phylogenic Trees
2:00 pm Bradley Efron,
Stanford University
The Problem of Regions
SCHEDULE for WEDNESDAY, JULY 10
9:15 am Coffee Vincent Hall Room 502
9:30 am Terry Speed,
Univ. of California, Berkeley
Mapping disease genes using identity by descent data
10:30 am Break Vincent Hall Room 502
11:00 am Herman Chernoff,
Harvard University
The Bootstrap in Phylogenetic Analysis With Low Coverage
2:00 pm Wen-Hsiung Li,
University of Texas
to be announced
3:00 pm Discussion Session Inference in Evolutionary Theroy and Population Genetics: How to deal with the statistically difficult problems?
SCHEDULE for THURSDAY, JUNE 12
9:15 am Coffee Vincent Hall Room 502
9:30 am Warren J. Ewens,
University of Pennsylvania
Statistics in human genetics
10:30 am Break Vincent Hall Room 502
11:00 am Eleanor Feingold,
Emory University
Mapping disease genes by searching for shared genomic segments among distant relatives
2:00 pm Michael Newton,
Univ. of Wisconsin-Madison
On the statistical analysis of allelic-loss data
6:00 pm Workshop Buffet Courtyard and Vincent Hall 120
SCHEDULE for FRIDAY, JULY 11
9:15 am Coffee Vincent Hall Room 502
9:30 am Fengzhu Sun,
Emory University
New Development of Statistical Methods for Testing Mitochondrial DNA Mutation Involvement in Complex Diseases
10:30 am Break Vincent Hall Room 502
11:00 am Charles Geyer,
University of Minnesota
to be announced
12:00-12:30 pm Discussion Session Statistics in Disease Genetics; Statistics in the Genome Project

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Week 1: Genetics
July 7-11, 1997

Week 2: Imaging
July 14-17, 1997

Week 3: Diagnosis & Prediction
July 21-25, 1997

Weeks 4 & 5: Design & Analysis of Clinical Trials
July 28 - August 7, 1997

Week 6: Statistics & Epidemiology:Environment and Health
August 18-21, 1997

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