IMA Workshop: Quantifying Uncertainty and Multiscale Phenomena in Subsurface Processes, January 7-11, 2002

Mathematics in Geosciences, September 2001 - June 2002

Winter 2002

IMA Workshop:

Quantifying Uncertainty and Multiscale Phenomena in Subsurface Processes

January 7-11, 2002

Organizers:

Louis J. Durlofsky
Department of Petroleum Engineering
Stanford University
lou@pangea.stanford.edu

James G. Glimm
Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics
SUNY at Stony Brook
glimm@ams.sunysb.edu

David Sharp
Complex Systems
Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL)
dhs@lanl.gov

Mary F. Wheeler
TICAM
The University of Texas at Austin
mfw@brahma.ticam.utexas.edu

C. Larrabee Winter
Department of Mathematical Modeling and Analysis
Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL)
winter@lanl.gov

Schedule	Participants	Registration
Abstracts
Material from Talks

The need for accurate and reliable decisions in the subsurface geosciences presents fundamental scientific challenges. Prediction must come with estimates of levels of accuracy, limits of applicability and degrees of confidence that can be placed in the results. This workshop will present an overview of some of the main issues and their interrelationships. The following topics will be emphasized:

(1) Upscaling of multiphase flows,

(2) uncertainty quantification for the geosciences,

(3) analysis of the potential of new experimental methods for characterization of subsurface states to reduce uncertainties in prediction,

(4) integration of subsystem models into large scale computational frameworks.

WORKSHOP SCHEDULE

MONDAY, JANUARY 7 All talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
8:30 am	Coffee and Registration	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
9:15 am	Fadil Santosa , Robert Gulliver, and David Sharp	Welcome and Introduction
9:30 am	Michael A. Christie Heriot-Watt University	Quantifying Uncertainty in Reservoir Performance Prediction
10:30 am	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
11:00 am	Jef Caers Stanford University	Stochastic inverse modelling under realistic prior model constraints with multiple-point geostatistics paper.pdf slides.html slides.ppt
12:00 pm	Lunch Break
2:00 pm	James G. Glimm SUNY at Stony Brook	Prediction of Oil Production with Confidence Intervals Slides: html pdf powerpoint
3:30 pm	IMA Tea/Reception A variety of appetizers and beverages will be served.	IMA East, 400 Lind Hall
TUESDAY, JANUARY 8 All talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
8:30am	Coffee	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
9:30 am	C. Larrabee Winter Los Alamos National Lab	Random domain decomposition for stochastic flow equations Slides: pdf postscript
10:30 am	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
11:00 am	Louis J. Durlofsky Stanford University	Performance Prediction for Non-Conventional Wells in Heterogeneous Reservoirs: From Approximate Models to Detailed Simulation
12:00 pm	Lunch Break
2:00 pm	Michael A. Celia Princeton University	Upscaling and Hysteresis in Models of Soil Moisture, Evaporation, and Transpiration
2:25 pm	Thomas F. Russell University of Colorado at Denver	Stochastic Modeling of Immiscible Flow with Moment Equations Slides
2:50 pm	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
3:20-3:45 pm	Gabriel Wittum Universität Heidelberg	Groundwater flow simulation and validation
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 9 All talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
8:30 am	Coffee	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
9:30 am	Henning Omre Norwegian University of Science & Technology	Improved production forecasts and history matching using approximate fluid-flow simulators Paper: Omre, H. and Lodoen, O.P.; 2001: Improved Production Forecasts and History Matching using Approximate Fluid Flow Simulators
10:30 am	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
11:00 am	Mary Fanett Wheeler University of Texas at Austin	Computational Science Issues in Oil and Gas Production: Upscaling, Geologic Uncertainty and Economic Models
12:00 pm	Lunch Break
2:00 pm	Bradley J. Plohr SUNY At Stony Brook	Modeling Permeability Hysteresis in Two- and Three-Phase Flow via Relaxation
3:00 pm	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
3:30 pm	Jichun Li University of Nevada, Las Vegas	Singular Perturbation Problems and Multiple Scales
3:55-4:20 pm	Felix Herrmann Massachusetts Institute of Technology	Regularity-adaptive basis function representation for seismic data
THURSDAY, JANUARY 10 All talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
8:30 am	Coffee	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
9:30 am	Dean S. Oliver University of Tulsa	Assessing Uncertainty in Reservoir Prediction by Monte Carlo Methods Slides.pdf Movie
10:30 am	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
11:00 am	Thomas Y. Hou Caltech	Multiscale Computation and Modeling of Flows in Strongly Heterogeneous Porous Media
12:00 pm	Lunch Break
2:00 pm	Frederico Furtado University of Wyoming	On the interaction of heterogeneity and multiphase flow in porous media
6:00 pm	Workshop Dinner	400 Lind Hall
FRIDAY, JANUARY 11 All talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
8:30am	Coffee	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
9:30 am	Dan Marchesin Inst de Matematica Pura e Aplicada	Porous Media Deposition Damage from Injection of Water with Particles
10:30 am	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
12:00 pm	Lunch Break
11:00 am	Todd Arbogast University of Texas at Austin	Two-scale, locally conservative subgrid upscaling for elliptic problems Slides: pdf postscript

LIST OF CONFIRMED PARTICIPANTS
(in addition to postdocs and long-term participants)

As of 1/7/2002

Name	Department	Affiliation
Todd Arbogast	TICAM	The University of Texas at Austin
Doug Arnold		Institute for Mathematics & its Applications
Robert Burridge
Jef Caers	Petroleum Engineering	Stanford University
Michael Celia	Civil and Environmental Eng.	Princeton University
Michael Christie	Petroleum Engineering	Heriot-Watt University
Doug Dokken	Mathematics	University of St. Thomas
Gregory S. Duane		Institute for Mathematics & its Applications
Louis J. Durlofsky	Petroleum Engineering	Stanford University
Albert Fannjiang	Mathematics	University of California - Davis
Frederico C. Furtado	Mathematics	University of Wyoming
James Glimm	Applied Mathematics & Statistics	SUNY at Stony Brook
Robert Gulliver		Institute for Mathematics & its Applications
Hazem Hamdan	Mathematics	Unhiversity of Minnesota
Thomas Y. Hou	Applied Mathematics	California Institute of Technology
Daniel Kern
Jichun Li	Mathematical Sciences	University of Nevada, Las Vegas
Dan Marchesin	IMPA Estrada Dona Castorina, 110	Instituto de Matematica Pura e Aplicada
Rebecca Maserumuler	Mathematical Sciences	Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
Anna Mazzucato	Mathematics	Yale University
Robert O'Malley	Mathematics	University of Washington
Dean S. Oliver	Petroleum Engineering	University of Tulsa
Henning Omre	Mathematical Sciences	Norwegian University of Science & Technology
Jeong-Soo Park	Statistics	Chonnam National University/SRCCS
Bradley Plohr	Applied Mathematics	SUNY At Stony Brook
Thomas F. Russell	Mathematics	University of Colorado at Denver
Fadil Santosa		Institute for Mathematics & its Applications
Kurt Scholz	Mathematics	University of St. Thomas
David Sharp	Complex Systems	Los Alamos National Laboratory
Michael W. Smiley	Mathematics	Iowa State University
Mary F. Wheeler	TICAM	The University of Texas at Austin
Larrabee Winter	Mathematical Modeling & Analysis	Los Alamos National Laboratory
Gabriel Wittum	IWR	Ruprecht-Karls-Universitaet Heidelberg
Toshio Yoshikawa		Institute for Mathematics & its Applications

2001-2002 IMA Thematic Year on Mathematics in the Geosciences

Material from Talks Abstracts

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Winter 2002

IMA Workshop:

Quantifying Uncertainty and Multiscale Phenomena in Subsurface Processes

LIST OF CONFIRMED PARTICIPANTS (in addition to postdocs and long-term participants)

LIST OF CONFIRMED PARTICIPANTS
(in addition to postdocs and long-term participants)