Mathematics in the Geosciences, September 2001 - June 2002

Organizers:

David R. Brillinger
Department of Statistics
University of California-Berkeley
brill@stat.berkeley.edu

Enders Robinson
Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering
Columbia University
ear11@columbia.edu

Frederic Schoenberg
Department of Statistics
University of California-Los Angeles
frederic@stat.ucla.edu

Robert H. Shumway
Department of Statistics
University of California at Davis
rhshumway@ucdavis.edu

 

Time series methods, both univariate and multivariate, provide important sources of information for the analysis and identification of dynamical properties of a wide range of physical systems. Traditional approaches are based on the statistics of random processes. More recent approaches incorporate ideas from the ergodic theory of dynamical systems. The cross-fertilization of these two approaches provides unique opportunities for the application of time-series methods to the geosciences. The goal of this workshop is to seek out new opportunities to apply recent advances in the statistical analysis of time series to geophysical applications. Intended participants are statisticians interested in new applications, and earth scientists seeking to learn about recent advances in the application of modern statistical methods.

This workshop will start with a tutorial on the statistical and dynamical approaches to time-series analysis, including time-domain and spectral tools, as well as point processes. Recent methods, such as wavelets, the multitaper method, and singular-spectrum analysis, will be covered. Applications will include various solid-earth time series, including earthquake magnitudes and volcanic events, magnetic field reversals and sunspot counts, as well as intraseasonal, interannual, interdecadal, and paleoclimatic time series. Owing to the currency of the topic, a special tutorial session will be organized to provide mathematicians and other non-specialists with some perspectives on the issues of global change, notably the greenhouse effect and global warming.

WORKSHOP SCHEDULE

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 12 All talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
8:30 am	Coffee and Registration	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
9:15 am	Douglas N. Arnold, Robert Gulliver, and Robert H. Shumway	Welcome and Introduction
9:30 am	Murray Rosenblatt University of California, San Diego	Linear Stationary Non-Gaussian Time Series Slides
10:30 am	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
11:00 am	Richard A. Davis Colorado State University	Maximum Likelihood Estimation for All-Pass Models
12:00 pm	Lunch Break
2:00 pm	Tohru Ozaki The Institute of Statistical Mathematics	Innovation Approach to the Identification of Nonlinear Causal Models in Time Series Analysis Slides:   html   pdf    powerpoint
3:30 pm	IMA Tea/Reception A variety of appetizers and beverages will be served.	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 13 All talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
9:00 am	Coffee	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
9:30 am	Keh-Shin Lii University of California	Nonparametric Estimation of the Intensity Function of a Point Process
10:30 am	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
11:00 am	Wei Biao Wu University of Chicago	A New Look at the Change-point Problem Slides
12:00 pm	Lunch Break
2:00 pm	Donald L. Turcotte Cornell University	Self-affine time series: measures and applications in geophysics Slides
3:00 pm	Ana Monica Costa Antunes University of Manchester	Non-linear Analysis of Spatial Time Series Slides:   html   pdf   powerpoint
3:30 pm	Zhongjie Xie Peking University	Hidden Periodicities Analysis for Spatial Data and its Application in Geophysics
4:00 pm	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
4:30 pm	Discussion Session   Leaders: Robert H. Shumway University of California, Davis Title: Estimating Arrival Times of Multiple Seismic Phases Dale N. Anderson Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 14 All talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
9:00 am	Coffee	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
9:30 am	Donald B. Percival University of Washington	Modeling North Pacific Climate Time Series slides.pdf     figures.pdf
10:30 am	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
11:00 am	Tata S. Subba-Rao University of Manchester Institute of Science and Technology	Non stationary time series analysis of Global Temperature anamolies
12:00 pm	Lunch Break
2:00 pm	David J. Thomson Bell Labs	Musings on "Long-Memory" Processes
2:30 pm	Edward J. Wegman George Mason University	Pixel Tours
3:00 pm	Shaleen Jain NOAA Climate Diagnostics	Multiple Time-scale Climate Controls on Flood probabilities: Examples from the Western United States
3:30 pm	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
4:00 pm	Discussion Session   Leader: David S. Stoffer University of Pittsburgh Title: A Sleepy Observer Problem --- how do you spectral analyze data from a point process when the observer keeps falling asleep?
6:00 pm	Workshop Dinner	Kikugawa at Riverplace, 43 Main St. S.E. Minneapolis
THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 15 All talks are in Lecture Hall EE/CS 3-180 unless otherwise noted.
9:00 am	Coffee	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
9:30 am	Robert H. Shumway University of California	Nonparametric Deconvolution of Seismic Depth Phases
10:30 am	Coffee Break	Reception Room EE/CS 3-176
11:00 am	Genshiro Kitagawa The Institute of Statistical Mathematics	State Space Approach to Signal Extraction Problems in Seismology Slides:   html    pdf    powerpoint
12:00 pm	Conclusion and Lunch

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

LIST OF CONFIRMED PARTICIPANTS
(in addition to postdocs and long-term participants)

As of 11/13/2001

Name	Department	Affiliation
Dale N. Anderson		Pacific Northwest Laboratory
Elizabeth M. Andrews	Statistics	Colorado State University
Ana Monica Costa Antunes	Mathematics	UMIST
Doug Arnold		Institute for Mathematics & its Applications
Christopher Binghamn	Statistics	University of Minnesota
Richard Davis	Statistics	Colorado State University
William T.M. Dunsmuir	Biostatistics, Statistics	University of Minnesota
Robert Gulliver		Institute for Mathematics & its Applications
Roger Hansen	Geophysical Institute	University of Alaska Fairbanks
Shaleen Jain	CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center	NOAA
Sung-Eun Kim	Mathematical Sciences	University of Cincinnati
Genshiro Kitagawa	Prediction and Control	The Institute of Statistical Mathematics
Keh-Shin Lii	Statistics	University of California, Riverside
Gary W. Oehlert	Statistics	University of Minnesota
Tohru Ozaki	Statistical Methodology	The Institute of Statistical Mathematics
Donald B. Percival	Applied Physics Laboratory	University of Washington
Gabriel A. Rodriguez-Yam	Statistics	Colorado State University
Murray Rosenblatt	Mathematics	University of California, San Diego
Fadil Santosa		Institute for Mathematics & its Applications
Robert Shumway	Statistics	University of California, Davis
David S. Stoffer	Biostatistics	University of Pittsburg
Tata Subba Rao	Mathematics	UMIST
Tze Chein Sun	Mathematics	Wayne State University
David J. Thomson		Bell Laboratories
Donald Turcotte	Geological Sciences	Cornell University
Edward J. Wegman	Centre for Computational Statistics	George Mason University
Asst Wei Biao Wu	Statistics	University of Chicago
Zhongjie Xie	Mathematical Science	Peking University

Mathematics in the Geosciences, September 2001 - June 2002