Talk abstract:

Local and Global Phenomena in Childhood Disease Dynamics

Bryan T. Grenfell
Department of Zoology
Cambridge University
Downing Street
Cambridge, CB2 3 EJ
United Kingdom
bryan@zoo.cam.ac.uk

Dr. Matt Keeling, University of Cambridge will deliver the talk.

Population-level models based on the SEIR framework work rather well for childhood infections. These assume homogeneous mass action mixing - however, in reality, we know that there are, often violent, local scale epidemics, associated with the start of school term, etc. Here, we examine this paradox, using time series analysis and population models.

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  1998-1999 Mathematics in Biology